Beyond the jargon of “petri dish and pivot” there are opportunities in ‘the risk’.
Wherever we start from, I think it is useful to – stealing a Steve Covey line of “end in mind” – be clear about our preferred Outcomes and necessary and sufficient Outputs.
The models and frameworks sketched out below use a “business continuity” context (reflecting some capability development work I am currently doing with a client) – but the thinking can be usefully applied across a range of contexts.
In my search for and development of useful heuristics I was looking for models that started with social needs (outcomes). I fondly redicovered a piece we used “back in the day” (developed by the likes of Kasperson and Kates). I say fondly because it stuck in my mind because of a bemusing typo. It was in the title – “casual” approach – rather than “causal” approach – just one misplaced letter, yet many misplaced meanings.
Nevertheless, a terrfic root cause – and starting point – exploration as it goes back to what we actually need! And at every step of our social and historic path you can readily see the points of difference – between societies, ideologies and technologies.
Heuristics are useful tools – but only that. They can blind you and narrow your perspectives as much as they can open and explore. Use them well (especially iteratively and rigorously with other stakehiolders) and you will see a range of opotions – from walled gardens to open vistas.
The further you either work back to “needs”, or start from “reimagined needs”, the better.
Hopefully, the fruits of this coming era of frugalis may not all be bitter.
John Salter - owner of Disaster Resilience Consulting - specialising in the facilitation of risk-based capability reviews; needs-based training; business continuity planning; crisis management exercises; and organisational debriefing. Recognised for “preventing disasters, or where that is not possible, reducing the potential for harm” Ref: Barrister H Selby, Inquest Handbook, 1998.
Distracted by golf, camping, fishing, reading, red wine, movies and theatre.
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